Silver Creek
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #42
Brown County Semi-State Rank #8
Brown County Regional Rank #3
Southwestern (Hanover Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 24.3%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Crawford County Invitational Silver Creek Invitational Duke Meyer Classic Provfidence Invitational Mid-Southern Conference Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional Brown County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/20 9/24 9/27 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 491 424 682 880 437 479 NEI NEI 559 498 477
Team Adjusted Rating 424 549 454 437 479 NEI NEI 559 498 477
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Crawford County Invitational Silver Creek Invitational Duke Meyer Classic Provfidence Invitational Mid-Southern Conference Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional Brown County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
45  Cameron Stephens 12 16:18 16:06 16:30 15:57 16:16 NEI 16:46 16:23 16:21 16:14
166  Matthew Bottorff 12 16:51 16:57 17:13 16:43 16:35 NEI 16:41 16:46 16:54
354  Preston Coots 9 17:21 17:16 17:07 17:37 16:57 NEI NEI 17:32 17:07 17:23
420  Boone Barton 12 17:29 17:06 17:37 17:31 17:30 17:33 NEI NEI 17:28 17:22 17:26
768  Luke Poe 11 18:00 17:43 18:09 17:45 17:24 18:24 NEI NEI 18:28 18:27 17:47
1,487  Spencer Copas 12 18:54 18:57 19:26 18:38 18:25 NEI NEI 18:58 19:00 18:56
Max Kerber 10 19:13 19:19 19:01 19:20 NEI
Jackson Couch 11 19:21 19:29 19:41 19:27 18:55
Chase Howard 12 19:39 19:45 20:36 19:58 19:08 19:42 NEI NEI 19:55 19:39
Aidan Post 10 19:43 20:25 21:01 19:16 19:11




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 24.3% 21.4 494 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.6 2.6 3.8 4.8 5.6 3.4
Semi-State 100.0% 7.8 237 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.8 7.0 12.6 18.8 22.9 19.0 9.0 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.6 84 0.4 40.3 54.8 4.2 0.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.7 43 36.6 56.5 7.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cameron Stephens 94.4% 48.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.4 92.6% 94.3%
Matthew Bottorff 26.1% 107.6 2.5% 8.5%
Preston Coots 24.3% 158.6 0.0% 0.0%
Boone Barton 24.3% 168.9 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Poe 24.3% 195.2 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Copas 24.3% 206.4 0.0% 0.0%
Max Kerber 24.3% 207.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cameron Stephens 100% 8.1 0.2 1.4 4.0 7.3 9.1 9.5 9.4 8.3 7.0 6.6 6.1 5.2 4.5 3.6 3.1 2.8 2.4 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 100.0% 100.0%
Matthew Bottorff 100% 31.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.6 3.4 3.3 100.0% 100.0%
Preston Coots 100.0% 71.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0% 90.9%
Boone Barton 100.0% 85.1 0.0 0.0% 75.8%
Luke Poe 100.0% 131.1 0.0% 3.9%
Spencer Copas 100.0% 165.3 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cameron Stephens 100% 1.1 48.1 33.1 8.7 4.6 2.7 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Matthew Bottorff 100% 8.5 1.0 4.9 5.4 6.8 8.0 8.8 10.0 10.1 9.7 9.2 7.7 6.4 4.4 2.9 2.0 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Preston Coots 100% 19.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 2.1 2.8 3.7 4.7 6.2 7.5 7.9 8.1 7.9 7.2 6.7 5.5 5.1 4.1 100.0%
Boone Barton 100% 23.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.4 3.2 4.2 5.1 6.5 6.5 6.8 6.6 6.7 5.5 100.0%
Luke Poe 100% 42.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Spencer Copas 100% 65.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cameron Stephens 1.0 90.1 6.4 3.4 0.1
Matthew Bottorff 3.3 0.0 19.8 17.9 44.2 12.9 3.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Preston Coots 7.3 0.3 0.9 9.6 14.4 19.3 17.2 12.7 8.3 5.8 4.0 3.0 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Boone Barton 9.4 0.1 1.6 5.2 8.7 13.8 15.1 13.8 10.6 8.4 6.5 5.1 4.0 2.8 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Luke Poe 19.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.0 2.8 3.2 5.1 6.8 9.5 12.2 15.9 20.0 11.8 4.9 2.3 0.8
Spencer Copas 27.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 3.9